Ah ha! I just looked at the 06Z Surface Analysis and something interesting showed up! The Analysis indicates the Honduras Low (our old friend the weak and poorly organised Disturbance 90L) on the coast of Honduras at 1010 mb, but forecasts it to move to near Jamaica (current location of most of the Convection) and deepens it just 1mb to 1009mb
Well if the low really does relocate to the area of convection, and does deepen just 1mb it indicates there remains a possibility of further development. Perhaps this is what the models have been picking up on! Now i really will be watching!
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