Hope this isn't a repost. But Gray's calling for 12/7/3 (possibly 13, 8, 4). He's going with Gray but trending possibly upward. My April was 13,8,2or3. His highest risks are coastal NC, and the NE Gulf based partly on tracks/activity in the analog years and the expected position of the Bermuda High (edging up to the east coast).
Personally, I think the Bermuda will nose into the US a little more than he's giving it credit for, so even though he's calling for fairly far western atlantic recurvature toward the Outer Banks, I think the risk for the SE US Coast is a little higher than he's giong with.
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