11PM is good news for us further south, and gives hope to the out to sea scenario. Which I still think is the most likely outcome, although it will be close to the Carolinas. Too close for comfort. Anywhere in the cone should be watching this. Florida much less so, now that I'm seeing more trends back right. If Irene recovers more tomorrow, then the northerly option becomes more likely than not. I updated the main post with more as to why.
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