And that's what we really need now is a Recon fix. Otherwise we can't say with much confidence where she may go. Even then, its still dicey. Notice the explosion of convection to the SW of the TS in one of its bands. To me it signifies the potential for some significant strengthening as she goes past say 68W. I want to say that the Carolinas are in the path of Irene. However, I want to see some of the 12Z Globals first. The ensembles were still showing strong ridging on the east coast right down to SC. If this is true, ain't no way she's gonna blow through that ridge. If its weaker/more offshore, Hatteras get nailed. But anyone from Florida to the NE coast needs to watch until there is a better handle of the pattern Upstream and here over the Atlantic. Cheers!!
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