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NHC is issuing advisories on recently re-developed #Beryl Elsewhere, the Atlantic is mostly quiet now.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 280 (Nate) , Major: 298 (Maria) Florida - Any: 308 (Irma) Major: 308 (Irma)
38.1N 64.7W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
Ene at 3 mph
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Archives 2000s >> 2005 News Talkbacks

HanKFranK
User


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1841
Loc: Graniteville, SC
Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning
      Mon Aug 22 2005 10:13 AM

the rundown this morning:
new 98L will get reconned this afternoon and will probably be classified. the core of the feature has moved offshore now; it should have enough time to get organized. joe b says landfall late tomorrow near tuxpan as a tropical storm.. see no problem with that.
97L is over marginal ssts and is entraining some dry air. this should act to keep it broad and fairly weak through the next 36-48hrs. should only be minimal development in that time. after that it should slowly deepen. a recurvature corridor will be open for it if it's strong enough late in the week. if not, it'll have a shear zone/upper trough to break through like irene did a couple weeks ago.
xtd 10 is what concerns me the most this morning. the outflow pattern is shown to be very favorable around it by mid week, with the rising heights in the northeast and shortwave bypassing it to the north, low pressure is likely to develop in this area. models tracking it either just east of florida, over florida, or into the eastern gulf. i was thinking about what jb would have to say over the weekend.. this morning his ideas all panned out like i'd expected. development out of this system will be trouble, and the pattern is evolving so as to facilitate that.
the wave behind 97L is shown by most globals to keep a low trajectory.. nao is positive now and should favor zonal ridging. in the two week period that wave will likely be responsible for what we're talking about then.
HF 1413z22august

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* T.S. Jose Forms in Bay of Campeche, Several Other Waves being Watched MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 22 2005 10:13 AM
. * * 18z GFS loop of x10 in the gulf is 'comical' Jekyhe904   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:32 PM
. * * Re: 10 NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:44 PM
. * * The 8 PM EDT Wrap danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:03 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:24 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:27 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:52 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap La Nimo   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:07 PM
. * * Xtd#10 Jekyhe904   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:41 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:14 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:16 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Old Sailor   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:11 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:18 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Old Sailor   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:22 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:27 PM
. * * Models danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Models Brad in Miami   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Models Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Models Isaroni?   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:26 PM
. * * Re: Models orlando fl   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:54 PM
. * * Re: Models orlando fl   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:10 AM
. * * Re: Models DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Models DebbiePSL   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Models Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Models danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Models Jekyhe904   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:35 AM
. * * status HanKFranK   Tue Aug 23 2005 12:53 AM
. * * Models2 danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Models2 Clark   Tue Aug 23 2005 01:07 AM
. * * the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Bloodstar   Tue Aug 23 2005 04:18 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Rich B   Tue Aug 23 2005 05:05 AM
. * * X10 97L danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:22 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... MissBecky   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:19 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 23 2005 06:35 AM
. * * Re: the system that Stephen King would be proud of.... Random Chaos   Tue Aug 23 2005 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Models Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:02 PM
. * * Re: The 8 PM EDT Wrap Big Red Machine   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:02 PM
. * * Local Update WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:10 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Steveunplugged   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:36 AM
. * * random morning LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:06 AM
. * * Re: random morning *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* BORED!!!   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:32 AM
. * * Re: random morning Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:02 PM
. * * Re: random morning *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* SMOKE   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:42 AM
. * * Re: random morning Beaumont, TX   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: random morning ftlaudbob   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:40 AM
. * * Re: random morning ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:23 PM
. * * Not so random storms LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms Steve   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms J.C.   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Not so random storms MikeG   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas MissBecky   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:00 PM
. * * other off the wall stuff HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:36 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Bloodstar   Mon Aug 22 2005 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Steve hirschb.   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas MapMaster   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas naples   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas rmbjoe1954   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Keith234   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Hawkeyewx   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:47 PM
. * * Recon reports Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Recon reports Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:37 PM
. * * 10 back on NRL Bloodstar   Mon Aug 22 2005 05:39 PM
. * * Re: 10 back on NRL Rich B   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:02 PM
. * * Re: 10 back on NRL NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:22 PM
. * * IRONIC or what... Big Kahuna   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:49 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... Lysis   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:51 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 07:28 PM
. * * Re: IRONIC or what... Keith234   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:09 PM
. * * Keeps Going and Going danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:50 PM
. * * TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:38 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb NONAME   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:44 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb Rich B   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:49 PM
. * * Re: TS Jose, 50mph, 1002mb scottsvb   Mon Aug 22 2005 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:15 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:18 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas native   Mon Aug 22 2005 04:25 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:47 PM
. * * dynamic models HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:24 PM
. * * Re: dynamic models Ron Basso   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:31 PM
. * * complaints? HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Trop Wave in SE Bahamas NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 01:33 PM
. * * Hey Ron LoisCane   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:32 PM
. * * Re: Hey Ron NewWatcher   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Hey Ron emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 12:52 PM
. * * Re: random morning NewWatcheratwork   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:38 AM
. * * Re: random morning native   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:58 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Random Chaos   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning J.C.   Mon Aug 22 2005 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning D3m3NT3DVoRT3X   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:39 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Ed in Va   Mon Aug 22 2005 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:13 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Ed in Va   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:35 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Frank P   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning ralphfl   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Wxwatcher2   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Rabbit   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:02 AM
. * * here goes.. HanKFranK   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:53 AM
. * * Re: here goes.. Clark   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:21 AM
. * * Re: here goes.. Frank P   Mon Aug 22 2005 11:02 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning naples   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning emackl   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Several Waves being Watched, Nothing Overly Concerning Beaumont, TX   Mon Aug 22 2005 10:25 AM

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