This might not be an expert explanation, but I'll try. Basically storms take the path of least resistance. Imagine that there is a "circle" smack in the middle of the GOM. If Rita were further north and the "circle" was further south, she would move along the "rim" of the circle. Instead, Rita is further south and the the "circle" is further north, pushing Rita to ride the "rim" where she will encounter no resistance. Hope that makes a little bit of sense, LOL.
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