Well after looking over the data going to stick my head out and go with a landfall similar to what Scott said above. I am going to go somewhere around Sarasota county area (Sarasota-Venice). Been kind of sticking with this the last few days and dont see any reason to change for now (much depending of coarse on how far north it gets in the Gulf?). Well written discussion per Tampa NWS which explains the situation rather well., including the latest GFS run which now has landfall near Sarasota/Charlotte county lines. GFDL has been somewhat consistent over the past day on landfall near Charlotte harbor, NOGAPS hanging on with landfall near the NHC's current forecast (Naples) and UKMET south of there in mainland Monroe county.
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