Quote: "the NHC verdict on the system has changed just a little bit. the latest twd posted illustrates part of this, while the possible investigation mentioned off the east coast of florida for saturday afternoon in the recon plan takes care of the rest. the tone is now gone from "probably nothing" to "possibly something".
Did they not do this with Alberto as well?
You can't really go by past storms in this regard. The NHC is going to be super-conscious of media and public scrutiny of their discussions and forecasts. Unless/until something develops, we can only take each day as it comes. If something starts to "bloom," then it's 12 hours. If something develops for sure, it's every 6 hours watching.
I decided that this year, I refuse to stress about it, I can't spend 6 months of my year obsessing over what's going to happen. That's why I'm trying to educate myself and learn the "science" end of it. And it's why I'm actively decluttering my house, so that if I have to evacuate, I know I've got everything I need to save and the rest, well, I've got insurance. (I think. As long as Citizens doesn't screw up now that Poe's in receivership!)
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
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