I'm still not impressed by what I'm seeing on sat and radar. It might intensify to a TD, but I have the feeling it's going to be hanging onto that distinction (if it makes it there) for dear life. It just looks too disorganized with the shear.
Now, if the shear drops off dramatically, sure, it's got a much better chance. I just think it's too early in the season. And it looks like where it's at, the SSTs start dropping off a little, so it's not going to have the fuel it would have if it was a GOM storm like Alberto was. As it drifts further west it gets a little warmer, but....who knows.
I just really think from what I'm seeing that it's got a much better chance of being a welcomed rainmaker than it does of being a BU (boarder-upper. )
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
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