I'm still not impressed by what I'm seeing on sat and radar. It might intensify to a TD, but I have the feeling it's going to be hanging onto that distinction (if it makes it there) for dear life. It just looks too disorganized with the shear.
Now, if the shear drops off dramatically, sure, it's got a much better chance. I just think it's too early in the season. And it looks like where it's at, the SSTs start dropping off a little, so it's not going to have the fuel it would have if it was a GOM storm like Alberto was. As it drifts further west it gets a little warmer, but....who knows.
I just really think from what I'm seeing that it's got a much better chance of being a welcomed rainmaker than it does of being a BU (boarder-upper. )
-------------------- Lesli in SWFL.
Friends help you move. Real friends help you move bodies.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is disabled
Thread views: 40539
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center