Quote: Well according to the 12z Atlantic Tropical Surface Analysis we now have a 1013mb low. This is the first time this system has been identified as a defined low centre on the ATSA. At 06z it was a trough. It does seem to be showing some signs of organisation, so it might do something - possibly later today. Will be interesting to see what the 1130AM TWO has to say...
This is what I had posted earlier. The TAFB 1205Z TWD does mention a mid and ULL has cut off from the trough. Quikscat still only shows the surface trough...there is still no LLC.
Jack's TWO says the expected.
NHC is correct in not identifying the potential for development before it is there. They are not behind the curve on anything; much the opposite.
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