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Severe flooding x-Trop Storm Imelda ongoing in SE TX, DFW to OK. Name may be retired. #96L and #99L Caribbean to Gulf risks
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 14 (Dorian) , Major: 345 (Michael) Florida - Any: 345 (Michael) Major: 345 (Michael)
20.5N 62.8W
Wind: 80MPH
Pres: 993mb
Moving:
Wnw at 16 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell

Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged: Mon
Posts: 356
Loc: Plant City, Florida
SST Question
      Tue Feb 01 2011 04:09 PM

This is a question for Ed. I am still learning about the SSTs and their long range effects on tropical cyclones. You mentioned that they appear to be on the cold side compared to 'normal'. I know that sea temps change much more slowly than air temps, but is it always the case that cold temps NOW will translate into colder temps during the season? Just as we have had a cold winter along the GOM that has the water temps lower than normal, can't we have a warm spring and make up the difference in the SSTs? Or have I stumbled on one of the reasons that long-range forcasting is so hard?
I guess the meat of the question is....how strong of a link is there between SSTs now and in the future?

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Feb 03 2011 12:22 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* SST Question Lamar-Plant City Tue Feb 01 2011 04:09 PM
. * * Re: SST Question Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Feb 03 2011 01:01 AM

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