Can't stay up too late for the models, but will do what I can...
0z GFS running now: hour 0: Initialization looks good. hour 6 ,12: same as 18z hour 18: slightly north of 18z hour 24: same as 18z hr 30 hour 30: same as 18z hr 36 hour 36: slightly east of 18z hr 42 (Irene is moving slower than the earlier run) hour 42: slightly northeast of 18z hr 48 hour 48: slightly northeast of 18z hr 54 hour 54: slightly northeast of 18z hr 60 (nearing Central Bahamas), 2nd trough seems strong enough to keep it away from Florida hour 60: slightly northeast of 18z hr 66 hour 66: northeast of 18z hr 72 (Irene is East of Grand Bahama) hour 72: northeast of 18z hr 78 hour 84: northeast of 18z hr 90 hour 90: northeast of 18z hr 96 (Well east of Savannah) hour 96: northeast of 18z hr 102 (Well east of Charleston) hour 102: northeast of 18z hr 108 (East of Myrtle Beach) hour 108: northeast of 18z hr 114 (South of Wilmington, NC) hour 114: northeast of 18z hr 120 (Approaching Morehead City, NC) hour 120: northeast of 18z hr 126 (Landfall just east of Morehead City, NC) hour 126: Over Nags Head, NC hour 132: Offshore east of Virginia Beach hour 138: Offshore east of Delaware hour 144: Offshore east of New Jersey hour 150: Landfall Long Island, NY hour 156: Over Boston, MA hour 162: Over Portland, ME hour 168: Entering Canada near, Houlton, ME
Ending here. Florida direct hit chances dropping greatly from the GFS run, I don't expect the NHC's track to change much tomorrow.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 72438
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center