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Archives >> 2011 Forecast Lounge

MikeC
Admin

Reged: Sun
Posts: 2779
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge
Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM

Can't stay up too late for the models, but will do what I can...

0z GFS running now:
hour 0: Initialization looks good.
hour 6 ,12: same as 18z
hour 18: slightly north of 18z
hour 24: same as 18z hr 30
hour 30: same as 18z hr 36
hour 36: slightly east of 18z hr 42 (Irene is moving slower than the earlier run)
hour 42: slightly northeast of 18z hr 48
hour 48: slightly northeast of 18z hr 54
hour 54: slightly northeast of 18z hr 60 (nearing Central Bahamas), 2nd trough seems strong enough to keep it away from Florida
hour 60: slightly northeast of 18z hr 66
hour 66: northeast of 18z hr 72 (Irene is East of Grand Bahama)
hour 72: northeast of 18z hr 78
hour 84: northeast of 18z hr 90
hour 90: northeast of 18z hr 96 (Well east of Savannah)
hour 96: northeast of 18z hr 102 (Well east of Charleston)
hour 102: northeast of 18z hr 108 (East of Myrtle Beach)
hour 108: northeast of 18z hr 114 (South of Wilmington, NC)
hour 114: northeast of 18z hr 120 (Approaching Morehead City, NC)
hour 120: northeast of 18z hr 126 (Landfall just east of Morehead City, NC)
hour 126: Over Nags Head, NC
hour 132: Offshore east of Virginia Beach
hour 138: Offshore east of Delaware
hour 144: Offshore east of New Jersey
hour 150: Landfall Long Island, NY
hour 156: Over Boston, MA
hour 162: Over Portland, ME
hour 168: Entering Canada near, Houlton, ME

Ending here. Florida direct hit chances dropping greatly from the GFS run, I don't expect the NHC's track to change much tomorrow.

Edited by MikeC (Tue Aug 23 2011 12:34 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Irene Conditions/Observations in Your Area	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:43 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:01 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	RevUp	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	BryanG	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:17 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:35 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Tue Aug 23 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Tue Aug 23 2011 12:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Tue Aug 23 2011 01:22 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:31 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 02:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 03:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Floridacane	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:37 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 06:55 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	cjzydeco	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:45 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wanna-Be-Storm-Chaser	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:57 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	CFHC	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:44 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:06 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:31 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	dolfinatic	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:51 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:19 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 01:43 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:21 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:53 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:41 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	peteferr	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:41 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:57 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:36 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:59 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:03 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 06:39 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 07:27 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:13 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Mon Aug 22 2011 09:23 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 11:12 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	vineyardsaker	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:54 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	LoisCane	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:48 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:05 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:28 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:58 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	doug	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:19 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:40 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Wingwiper	Thu Aug 25 2011 07:46 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge Killed -- Sent to Graveyard	GlenJohnson	Thu Aug 25 2011 08:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Thu Aug 25 2011 09:35 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:58 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:55 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 05:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Edski	Fri Aug 26 2011 06:53 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 26 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Fri Aug 26 2011 11:51 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Aug 27 2011 12:42 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TXEB	Sat Aug 27 2011 07:20 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 26 2011 10:34 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TallyBob	Fri Aug 26 2011 08:02 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:02 AM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:11 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Fri Aug 26 2011 09:09 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:10 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Sun Aug 21 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:06 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:11 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sun Aug 21 2011 03:25 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	k___g	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 06:39 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 08:30 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	Marknole	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:09 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	danielw	Sun Aug 21 2011 01:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:20 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 08:50 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:33 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:08 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 02:30 PM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	scottsvb	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:49 AM
Re: Irene Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sun Aug 21 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 03:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:48 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Joeyfl	Fri Aug 19 2011 04:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 11:40 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 18 2011 05:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	stormtiger	Thu Aug 18 2011 06:10 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 18 2011 07:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	danielw	Thu Aug 18 2011 09:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Aug 19 2011 07:14 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 10:11 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:59 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 19 2011 05:23 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Aug 23 2011 07:03 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ralphfl	Tue Aug 23 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 06:31 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:17 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 09:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:21 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:20 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	watchinout	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cooper13	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:30 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 02:56 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:18 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 10:18 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 25 2011 03:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 11:54 PM
Admin Note	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 25 2011 12:55 AM
Abaco	Bev	Thu Aug 25 2011 01:39 AM
Re: Abaco	MikeC	Thu Aug 25 2011 06:37 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	cguhr3	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:36 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	TheOtherRick	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:31 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Aug 24 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 24 2011 03:54 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	mcgowanmc	Wed Aug 24 2011 12:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Rob1966	Wed Aug 24 2011 01:42 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Mon Aug 22 2011 11:38 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:12 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Owlguin	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:26 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:08 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Sat Aug 20 2011 10:32 AM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Sat Aug 20 2011 01:29 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Sat Aug 20 2011 04:43 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	doug	Sat Aug 20 2011 05:40 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Edski	Sat Aug 20 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 07:07 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	GuppieGrouper	Sat Aug 20 2011 03:39 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	B.C.Francis	Sat Aug 20 2011 12:52 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Aug 19 2011 08:09 PM
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Aug 19 2011 11:01 AM

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