Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - 25 Years Tracking StormsHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Cristobal slightly stronger with 45MPH winds. Flooding rainfall in the Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche regions of Mexico.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 270 (Dorian) , Major: 601 (Michael) Florida - Any: 601 (Michael) Major: 601 (Michael)
19.1N 92.3W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 996mb
Moving:
S at 1 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2010s >> 2015 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged: Sun
Posts: 4246
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Grace Forecast Lounge
      Sun Sep 06 2015 01:01 PM

12Z GFS For grace takes in on almost the exact path Erika took (and about the same intensity wise). CMC and NavGem take it north. But are less reliable. Based on the current pattern, I'd suspect the further south (and west) track is again the most likely, which will keep it weak.

Nothing really new in the models today, otherwise. NHC track looks good. Grace may have a better chance to intensify before hitting the shear than Erika did, but still will likely meet a similar fate before reaching the Eastern Caribbean. Once again until this system clears the Caribbean, it will be too early to speculate beyond that. Odds favor it just falling apart, with shear & the TUTT ahead.



Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Grace Forecast Lounge cieldumort Sun Sep 06 2015 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 11 2015 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 06 2015 01:01 PM
. * * Re: TD 7 Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 05 2015 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge DaViking   Sat Sep 05 2015 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 05 2015 08:10 PM
. * * Re: New Wave: Invest 91L craigm   Fri Sep 04 2015 03:36 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 7891

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center