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Cristobal slightly stronger with 45MPH winds. Flooding rainfall in the Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche regions of Mexico.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 270 (Dorian) , Major: 601 (Michael) Florida - Any: 601 (Michael) Major: 601 (Michael)
19.1N 92.3W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 997mb
Moving:
S at 3 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2015 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1935
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Grace Forecast Lounge
      Fri Sep 11 2015 07:19 PM

As of today, Sept. 11th, despite the ongoing abundance of shear in the region, Grace is still sort of holding its own as a tropical wave now centered very near Puerto Rico in the northeastern Caribbean, with most of its associated convection displaced well to the east of this apparent "center."

The Canadian Model (Global Environmental Multiscale Model, or GEM for short) is always a tool to use for a sort of "If there is any plausible chance something could develop, how could this happen, and how might this play out?" And so with the caveat that the GEM sometimes runs hot to extremely hot, the model does continue to regenerate what is left of Grace, now taking a then Hurricane Grace into the Carolinas next weekend. (Image courtesy Tropical Tidbits).



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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Grace Forecast Lounge cieldumort Fri Sep 11 2015 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Fri Sep 11 2015 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Sep 06 2015 01:01 PM
. * * Re: TD 7 Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Sep 05 2015 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge DaViking   Sat Sep 05 2015 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Grace Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 05 2015 08:10 PM
. * * Re: New Wave: Invest 91L craigm   Fri Sep 04 2015 03:36 PM

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