ECMWF and GFS 0z ensemble member runs from this morning generally painting two very different scenarios. This trend has continued so far today.
These two models and their individual members are largely thought of as the two top to go by, and until we have a more consolidated system to hang hats on, the spread may continue to be large. Look for better clarity once a tropical depression or storm has formed, and recon has flown in a few times. Until then, all interests from the Lesser Antilles to the Greater Antilles and points west and north from there may want to pay close attention.
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