Let me throw my two cents in on this system - Currently (Wed - 9/28 - 9 am ET) there is an upper high directly over "Matthew". That said, windshear from the SW and S ramps up to 40 knots almost immediately to the system's track. Models bring this system to a snail's pace in about 48 hours and leaves it down there for another almost 48 hours SSE of Jamaica...reasonably between 3 and 4 days from now and then if our upper level players are where the models say they'll be a steering current between the upper level low over the Mid-Atlantic states and the upper level high to its east and northeast should be able to steer the system east of FL but the upper ridge sets up shop this time next week off the New England coast in essence forcing it back towards the United States eastern coast near NC as of this typing. There's no reason to believe we're looking at a Hurricane at that time. My concern is where in relationship to the upper level low/trough it will be where difluence could one; reduce shear and two, create a favorable pattern for convection. All of this for the moment is speculation. I'm not going to speculate what this system is and isn't going to do until I see enough development "vertically" which I then can interpret the model data. That system is pretty far south at the moment. Y'all have a nice day.
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Thread views: 98260
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center