12Z GFS suggests Matthew will make landfall on the western tip of Haiti's Tiburon peninsula late Sunday night or Monday morning as a major hurricane. Over long island in the Bahamas on late Monday night, then stays out to sea. Ensembles haven't run on it, but the last Euro run at 0z, is further west and much slower.
The things to watch out for are how fast Matthew is moving and when the northern turn occurs, slower moving storm would allow for more of a turn back west, fast mover would kick it out to sea. NHC's cone is fairly spot on, if anything it may be a bit too far west. It's prudent to keep watching it closely in the Caribbean.
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