12Z Euro running... 24 hours, over the western tip of Haiti (Tiburon Peninsula) 48 hours SW of Crooked Island in the Bahamas (west of the 12Z yesterday position) 72 hours (Thursday Morning): Over Northern Bahamas (100miles west of earlier runs) 96 hours (Friday Morning) 100 miles east southeast of Cape Canaveral (120miles west of earlier runs) close enough for watches/warnings. 120 hours (Saturday Morning) 60 miles southeast of Charleston 144 hours (Sunday Morning ) Rockets eastward 80 miles se of Morehead City, NC Out to sea beyond that.
Euro Summary Stays east of US, but close enough for Tropical Storm force winds, would force warnings up along coast if it verified, at some points it gets as close as 50-60 miles from shore. Overall trend, west. 5pm track will likely shift a bit west.
If watches were needed for Florida, you could see those issued late Tuesday or Wednesday. Thursday/Friday would be the closest to Florida approach. For those in the Carolinas, keep watch any impacts wouldn't be until Saturday.
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