Quote: Just offshore (within 50 miles or less) of the East coast of Central Florida Friday morning.
Not a fan of these shallow angle / coastal rider type 'canes. They tend to spread damage over a much wider area then straight-in type storms where the impact is direct and focused (around the eye wall) to a limited section of coast. The good news is as long as Matt stays small-ish the hurricane force winds could remain offshore. The bad news is pretty much the entire eastern US shoreline is going to be subject to TS forces winds over the next few days. Plus any slight shift west changes the wind effect greatly given the projection of a Cat 3 spinning offshore in the warm Gulf Stream current.
Model guidance is coming into a tight cluster, so confidence is high that the 3 day track looks to verify. At some point (late Weds?) will have to make the dreaded panels / no panels call. For SFL looks to be all day Thursday event.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05) - Matthew ('16)
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