Quote: What is the biggest threat for me? Winds, flooding or storm surge? Do you have any idea as to how bad this one would be for my area? I am struggling hard with the decision to evacuate or not
Depending on exact location, probably the surge (depends on approach and exactly where you live and exactly what direction and strength irma is approaching from and if the wind/eye is close enough to drive the field up... Matthew got close but not enough to bring the surge in noticeably to New Smyrna like it did to Flagler Beach north) Of the 3 big hurricanes to be close to central Florida in 2004 Jeanne was the one that did the most surge damage to New Smyrna, but that was with a landfall way south.
When Florida gets under a watch/warning they'll put up surge maps which will help.
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