Quote: If I had to take a guess, which I am doing, I would say gusts around 125 sustained around 100.
Seems about right as https://www.ventusky.com graphics (based on the GFS) shows 90 MPH gusts (just outside eastern core). However that model also has the center sitting over Palm Bay at 11PM on Sunday. Move the center directly over Orlando and 120 MPH gusts begin to show up (northern eye wall). The http://www.skeetobiteweather.com graphics show Cat 2 wind field in Orlando.
The 5AM update is a punch to the gut. Model tracks are grouped tightly from up the spine to just on the coast.
Made the call... we are heading to my parents place in Lake Placid, FL. Worried about trees coming down and being trapped in a rural area vs the 'burbs but a few miles could be the difference between days without power and WEEKS without power based on previous storm experience.
-------------------- South FL Native... experienced: David ('79) - Floyd ('87) - Andrew ('92) - Georges ('98) - Irene ('99) - Frances & Jeanne ('04) - Katrina & Wilma ('05) - Matthew ('16)
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