Quote: From the NHC Discussion: Radar data indicate that Irma is moving toward the west-northwest at about 8 kt. The turn toward the northwest and north-northwest is about to begin since the hurricane is already at the western edge of the subtropical ridge:
They said same thing earlier at 11am and 5am really... this storm is already almost 81W... if it doesn't turn NW in the next 3hrs and NNW by midnight.. this will pass west of Clearwater-St Pete.. how far depends each hour it keeps going wnw-nw
I do think that the poleward turn has started. The decrease in forward motion is enough evidence for me. Not to mention the edge of the ridge that she's sitting on.
Let's pray that it doesn't just ride off the coast of St. Pete. That would be so bad for so many reasons and would make a devastating storm absolutely catastrophic.
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