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#Chantal continues eastbound in the Atlantic. Now closely watching a new area of Interest near the Bahamas with 20% odds
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 40 (Barry) , Major: 316 (Michael) Florida - Any: 316 (Michael) Major: 316 (Michael)
38.8N 43.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
E at 17 mph
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General Discussion >> 2019 Forecast Lounge

cieldumortModerator
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 1864
Loc: Austin, Tx
Invest 95L Lounge
      Sun Jul 28 2019 02:16 PM



An area of persistent disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave is entering the eastern Caribbean, and this feature is now being tracked by NHC. While development in the very near term remains unlikely due to only marginally favorable conditions, later in the coming week as the wave rounds the base of high pressure to its north and nears Florida, more significant development could begin. In the meantime the wave will likely produce some locally heavy rain with a risk of flooding over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

A few models are taking to this system, with some even developing a stout tropical cyclone once northeast of Florida while crossing the Gulf Stream and heading out into the open Atlantic. Most models suggest that regardless of a name or not, the Bahamas and/or south Florida could experience wet and blustery conditions late into the week and next weekend (around Thursday August 1st to Saturday August 3rd ). Of course, there is also the possibility that the wave stays further south with delayed development, or does not develop at all.

This wave has just been designated Invest 95L and the title has been updated accordingly. It is being estimated that as of 1800z today, 95L was centered near 12.8N 63.3W with maximum sustained winds of 25 knots and a min pressure of 1010mb.

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* Invest 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator Sun Jul 28 2019 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Invest 95L Lounge cieldumortModerator   Thu Aug 01 2019 01:41 PM

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