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Archives 2000s >> 2003 News Talkback

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 4112
Loc: Orlando, FL
Isabel Meets Poseidon?
      Tue Sep 09 2003 06:17 PM

For Isabel I will be spending time in the Storm Chat during the next week or so (varying times of day) click on the Storm Chat link on the left to go there or use an IRC client to connect to backpack.webmaster.com and join #uswxw.

7PM update Wed:
Recon has arrived in Puerto Rico to start flights tomorrow or Friday.

A full update will come later tonight.

Judging from the latest model trends, it appears Isabel, another strong category 4 storm is heading toward the fish twilrer status -- but no where near as certain as Fabian was. It is another impressive storm like Fabian, and its track is sure to be more erratic, but the model trends have it turning northward before it reaches the US. (Others may trend it back westward.. It must be watched!) As for the Caribbean, it must be watched, but I think it will stay north of the Islands.

Any east coast impact from the storm would be 8 days or more out.

Caveat, naturally, is that it all could change (and as the night goes along I'm finding more stuff they may make me change this tomorrow -- if you've been watching me change this post you aren't seeing things), but I don't see how it could at the moment. (See HankFrank's post in the Storm Forum for a valid reason it could change or SNONUT for another)

We'll be tracking it.



Tropical Depression #14 is shooting northward and is also no concern to land.

Outside of this, we really don't have any immediate concerns, although the Gulf is interesting and we are watching the rest of the basin as well.

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands

More discussion on the storm on our Storm Forum.

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF


DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.

- [mike@flhurricane.com]

Edited by MikeC (Thu Sep 11 2003 09:02 AM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Isabel Meets Poseidon? MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 09 2003 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? bob316   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:36 PM
. * * Lyons commit Dana H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Lyons commit andy1tom   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:36 PM
. * * Again....too early for me...models show a shift to the north. Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? met   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:13 AM
. * * Crow...not yet Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Crow...not yet joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:52 AM
. * * westbound but... LoisCane   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:00 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:19 PM
. * * any impact still at least a week away, and.. HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:06 PM
. * * Re: any impact still at least a week away, and.. Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:57 PM
. * * Re: any impact still at least a week away, and.. stormchazer   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:08 PM
. * * Florida Bound??? GaryC   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:16 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? VolusiaMike   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? SandiaFlower   Thu Sep 11 2003 03:01 PM
. * * Why the SHPS forecast of weaking? ULL? Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Why the SHPS forecast of weaking? ULL? Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:59 PM
. * * Re: Why the SHPS forecast of weaking? ULL? Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:35 PM
. * * T numbers 6.5 Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:54 PM
. * * Re: T numbers 6.5 GaryC   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:57 PM
. * * Re: T numbers 6.5 Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? BabyCat   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? SandiaFlower   Thu Sep 11 2003 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Tropics Guy   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? SandiaFlower   Thu Sep 11 2003 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Bruce   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:21 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? andy1tom   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? GaryC   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Brad in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Floridacane   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:38 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Beach   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:38 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:51 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:46 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Mary K.   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Tropics Guy   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Storm Cooper   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? StPeteGuy   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:13 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? met   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:24 PM
. * * Hey Clark... Steve   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:38 PM
. * * Re: Hey Clark... Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:48 PM
. * * 11pm Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:01 PM
. * * Re: 11pm MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:04 PM
. * * Re: 11pm Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:39 PM
. * * Re: 11pm SandiaFlower   Thu Sep 11 2003 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Mary K.   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:10 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? stormchazer   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:00 PM
. * * Legends & Myths Rad   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:04 PM
. * * someone explain why it looks like this... please LoisCane   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? Steve   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:11 PM
. * * Re: Florida Bound??? clyde w.   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Atlantic Forecast Ron   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:28 PM
. * * Possible new names for this board...please vote LoisCane   Wed Sep 10 2003 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Possible new names for this board...please vote Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Possible new names for this board...please vote javlin   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:02 PM
. * * Re: Possible new names for this board...please vote Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:50 PM
. * * A long way off... Kevin   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:13 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:04 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:48 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:06 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:31 PM
. * * Recon update Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:40 PM
. * * Re: Recon update Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Recon update Clark   Wed Sep 10 2003 10:43 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Justin in Miami   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:10 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Stuart Dave   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:04 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:44 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:06 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... andy1tom   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:44 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... Bill   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:25 PM
. * * Re: westbound but... HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Crow...not yet stormchazer   Wed Sep 10 2003 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? clyde w.   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:45 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:27 PM
. * * Looks as if Isabel may be making the westerly turn. Kevin   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:50 PM
. * * Re: Looks as if Isabel may be making the westerly turn. javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Looks as if Isabel may be making the westerly turn. stormchazer   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? John C   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:59 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? Bruce   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? clyde w.   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? clyde w.   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon? BillD   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:12 PM
. * * Coming west? islander   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Frank P   Tue Sep 09 2003 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Tropics Guy   Tue Sep 09 2003 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Bruce   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? met   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Joe   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Possible Clue from NHC Justin in Miami   Tue Sep 09 2003 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Possible Clue from NHC javlin   Tue Sep 09 2003 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Possible Clue from NHC joepub1a   Tue Sep 09 2003 11:51 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Possible Clue from NHC HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Coming west? Possible Clue from NHC javlin   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:13 AM
. * * henri HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:16 AM
. * * Re: henri javlin   Wed Sep 10 2003 12:24 AM
. * * Re: henri joepub1a   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:07 AM
. * * Re: scottsvb1   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:32 AM
. * * Re: nickster   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:03 AM
. * * Recon? Domino   Wed Sep 10 2003 02:09 AM
. * * WEST WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 10 2003 04:59 AM
. * * Re: WEST Domino   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:21 AM
. * * NHC WXMAN RICHIE   Wed Sep 10 2003 05:49 AM
. * * Re: NHC jlauderdal   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:25 AM
. * * Re: NHC Kevin   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:31 AM
. * * Re: NHC jlauderdal   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:36 AM
. * * Fantasyland Richie unplugged   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Fantasyland jlauderdal   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:30 AM
. * * problems in general HanKFranK   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:56 AM
. * * Re: problems in general zoidy   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:39 AM
. * * Re: problems in general zoidy   Wed Sep 10 2003 09:40 AM
. * * From Puerto Rico I am still watching track Cycloneye   Wed Sep 10 2003 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Fantasyland Richie unplugged   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:21 AM
. * * Re: Fantasyland Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 07:33 AM
. * * Avila smells the cameras LoisCane   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Avila smells the cameras Steve H.   Wed Sep 10 2003 06:28 AM
. * * Re: henri javlin   Wed Sep 10 2003 01:31 AM
. * * said the rest before, so i'll address the new HanKFranK   Tue Sep 09 2003 11:45 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Storm Cooper   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? SandiaFlower   Thu Sep 11 2003 02:09 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Jim M   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:43 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? clyde w.   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? clyde w.   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Mitch   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Coming west? Kevin   Tue Sep 09 2003 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon Cycloneye   Tue Sep 09 2003 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Isabel Meets Poseidon MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 09 2003 07:37 PM

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