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Azores #96L fails to complete transition into a Sub-Tropical Storm. Elsewhere, weak low pressure in Caribbean may linger into next week.
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Archives >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Reged: Sun
Posts: 3888
Loc: Orlando, FL
First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC
      Sat Jul 31 2004 07:54 PM

2:30 PM Aug 1 Update: TD 1 Becomes Tropical Storm Alex
We now have our first named system of this season. At 2PM, NHC upgraded TD1 to TS Alex - located about 80 miles SSE of Charleston, South Carolina. Alex is a minimal TS with sustained winds of 35 knots, and it is currently stationary. The NHC still expects Alex to eventually move to the north and northeast so Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect for the coastal areas of the Carolinas.

Personally, I would have placed the center a lot further to the south based on the main feeder band, but since the storm has about a half dozen areas of low-level circulation, I guess that for the moment, any one of them will do. Coastal residents of Georgia should also keep a close eye on Alex.
ED

10:45 AM Aug 1 Update:
Tropical Storm Warnings are now up from Cape Fear to Cape Hatteral in North Carolina.

10:30 AM Aug 1 Update:
Tropical Depression 1 is looking better this morning, with Dvorak T#s at 2.0. There is a good chance it'll become Tropical Storm Alex today, but due to its proximity to land the likelyhood of it strengthening much more is slip.

However, I do suspect it will be in strengthening mode when it does make landfall. It's center seems to be reforming now, or adjustin itself.

More to come later.



Original Update
Tropical Depression One has formed east of the Florida Peninsula, and is still rather disorganized. It's track takes it northward towards the Carolinas, and because of this, Tropical Storm Watches are out for South Carolina all the way up to Cape Hatteras in North Carolina.

Folks in the area should be aware of it.



The system in the Gulf (90L) is looking very ragged now, and may not form into a depression. But another storm west of the Cape Verde Islands in the far eastern Atlantic may form over the next few days and become our first "cape verde" tracker of the season. We'll keep an eye out on everything.

More updates to come on TD#1...
Event Related Links
Charleston, SC Long Range Radar
Jacksonville, FL Long Range Radar

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NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

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Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sun Aug 01 2004 02:47 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC MikeCAdministrator Sat Jul 31 2004 07:54 PM
. * * Re: First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 11:12 AM
. * * hurricane hunters real-time doppler Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 11:24 AM
. * * dopplars and depressions LoisCane   Sun Aug 01 2004 12:44 PM
. * * Alex forms Hurricane   Sun Aug 01 2004 01:58 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms Rich B   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms Old Sailor   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) LoisCane   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:58 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) Steve Hirschb.   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) LoisCane   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) Steve Hirschb.   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:45 PM
. * * Alex? LI Phil   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms :) Carl   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms Steve Hirschb.   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms LI Phil   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:56 PM
. * * Radar Link to Savannah Cocoa Beach   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Alex forms James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:24 PM
. * * Alex to be or not to be LadyStorm   Sun Aug 01 2004 08:09 AM
. * * Re: Alex to be or not to be Rich B   Sun Aug 01 2004 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Alex to be or not to be troy2   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:18 AM
. * * whats east of outer banks? Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:23 AM
. * * Relocation? Rich B   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Relocation? Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:45 AM
. * * Re: Relocation? Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:57 AM
. * * Wet Beach Day LI Phil   Sun Aug 01 2004 11:05 AM
. * * 11am adv. Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:39 AM
. * * Re: 11am adv. HanKFranK   Sun Aug 01 2004 11:03 AM
. * * 11Am dis Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Relocation? James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:39 AM
. * * Could Alex be born? Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:27 AM
. * * 40kts winds on TD1 Anonymous   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:31 AM
. * * Re: Alex to be or not to be James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 10:06 AM
. * * Re: First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC Anonymous   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:00 PM
. * * Re: First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC Jamiewx   Sat Jul 31 2004 09:00 PM
. * * 8 pm hurricane_run   Sat Jul 31 2004 07:58 PM
. * * Re: 8 pm hurricane_run   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:00 PM
. * * 11 pm hurricane_run   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:39 PM
. * * Re: 11 pm hurricane_run   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:42 PM
. * * July will elapse without a named storm hurricane_run   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:58 PM
. * * Re: July will elapse without a named storm danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:02 PM
. * * Re: July will elapse without a named storm LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:06 PM
. * * Re: July will elapse without a named storm danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:10 PM
. * * Re:03z buoy reports. TD1 spinning up? danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:27 PM
. * * Re: July will elapse without a named storm LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:14 PM
. * * Just an observation.... teal61   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:29 PM
. * * All 3 disturbances on water vapor danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Re: All 3 disturbances on water vapor MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 12:17 AM
. * * enjoying your posts.. so many to read LoisCane   Sun Aug 01 2004 12:39 AM
. * * steep grade ahead HanKFranK   Sun Aug 01 2004 01:06 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:37 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 02:54 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead Hurricane6   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:18 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:31 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:39 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 03:59 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 04:04 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 04:35 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead James88   Sun Aug 01 2004 04:42 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 04:59 AM
. * * Re: steep grade ahead Rich B   Sun Aug 01 2004 05:23 AM
. * * Re: Meteosat site-Nice danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 05:37 AM
. * * Re:Yucatan Thunder danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 01 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: 8 pm Anonymous   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:27 PM
. * * Re: 8 pm Rich B   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Happy Birthday Rich B. LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Happy Birthday Rich B. Storm Cooper   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Second Recon Flight LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Second Recon Flight danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Second Recon Flight LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Second Recon Flight danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 09:43 PM
. * * Re: 90L and TD 1 Old Sailor   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:45 PM
. * * Re: 90L and TD 1 Rabbit   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:52 PM
. * * Re: 90L and TD 1 LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Re: 90L and TD 1 Old Sailor   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:56 PM
. * * TD2 by MOnday? Rabbit   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:22 PM
. * * better satellite image Rabbit   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Re: better satellite image hypernascar   Wed Sep 01 2004 05:29 PM
. * * Re: better satellite image danielwAdministrator   Sat Jul 31 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Dvorak for wave Cycloneye   Sat Jul 31 2004 09:42 PM
. * * Re: First Tropical Depression Forms TS Watches Up for SC and NC LI Phil   Sat Jul 31 2004 07:58 PM

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