Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane CenterHurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


SIXTEEN becomes #TropicalStormNestor 60 MPH 1001mb.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Dorian) , Major: 373 (Michael) Florida - Any: 373 (Michael) Major: 373 (Michael)
29.0N 86.0W
Wind: 50MPH
Pres: 998mb
Moving:
Ne at 17 mph
Click for Storm Spotlight
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
ADS
Login to remove ads

 


Archives 2000s >> 2003 News Talkback

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Claudette Stalls
      Sun Jul 13 2003 04:05 PM

I was tempted to title this article 'Claudette STILL Undecided! What an interesting, and educational, storm she has been (and still is). The last couple of recon vortex messages suggest a southward drift, while the last few visible satellite images hint at an eastward drift of the again exposed low level center. Possibly a cyclonic loop...or the start of a change in direction...or perhaps the center has become quasi-stationary, as Mike will often remind us, 'time will tell'.

While most of us tend to concentrate on the Visible and/or IR imagery, the Water Vapor loop paints quite a different picture:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html

Dry air has entrained into the system from the west and southwest and it has again decreased the convection to the north and east of the center. The envelope of dry sinking air has now made it all the way south to the Texas/Mexico border near Brownsville. Shearing on minor flareups well to the west southwest of the system suggest that the wind shear remains in place. Along the north Gulf coast, healthy upper level westerlies are in place...and to the east there are hints that the Atlantic ridge may be retrograding and lifting a bit more northward.

The main feature however is a stationary upper level high pressure system located in the BOC off the west coast of the Yucatan. This high is the prime cause for the west southwesterly shear over Claudette and it shows no signs of movement or decline. For the moment, Claudette is trapped in the middle of all these factors. If she can survive the shear and the dry air (and so far she's done a good job of that) she may keep us wondering for yet a few more days.
ED

Hurricane City is doing a live audio Broadcast tonight 14-Jul 8pm till about 11pm


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF


DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, MM5, NOGAPS, UKMET

Multi-model plots from WREL

Other commentary at Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , Tropical Weather Watchers.Com (JasonM) Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,
Even more on the links page.

Edited by CFHC (Mon Jul 14 2003 09:03 PM)

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Claudette Stalls Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Jul 13 2003 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Cocoa Beach   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Storm Cooper   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls cajun   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls 57497479   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Terra   Tue Jul 15 2003 10:57 AM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Storm Cooper   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:52 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls 57497479   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:10 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls CFHCAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:39 PM
. * * Radar pixs impressive Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:25 PM
. * * Bouy Links off of Tx/La CocoaBeach   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls CHEVYMAN   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:27 AM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:11 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls clyde w.   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:01 AM
. * * Changes are a happening... CocoaBeach   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:43 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Allison   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:38 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... clyde w.   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:42 AM
. * * great radar loop Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:45 AM
. * * warnings up.. teal61   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:41 AM
. * * Re: warnings up.. clyde w.   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:45 AM
. * * Re: warnings up.. Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:49 AM
. * * Movement Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:00 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Rich B   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Changes are a happening... Mathew   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:35 AM
. * * center fix Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 10:26 AM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls storn   Sun Jul 13 2003 06:24 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Suserm7306   Sun Jul 13 2003 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls andy1tom   Sun Jul 13 2003 05:38 PM
. * * ANOTHER SYSTEM????? WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Jul 13 2003 06:17 PM
. * * Re: ANOTHER SYSTEM????? Justin in Miami   Sun Jul 13 2003 06:41 PM
. * * Re: ANOTHER SYSTEM????? WXMAN RICHIE   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:50 PM
. * * Re: ANOTHER SYSTEM????? andy1tom   Sun Jul 13 2003 06:45 PM
. * * On The Increase, AGAIN!!!! ShawnS   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:09 PM
. * * Re: On The Increase, AGAIN!!!! HanKFranK   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:24 PM
. * * Re: On The Increase, AGAIN!!!! Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:55 PM
. * * Re: On The Increase, AGAIN!!!! Young Droop   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:17 PM
. * * EYE??? ShawnS   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:26 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Steve-unplugged   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:42 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Steve-unplugged   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:44 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Joe   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:35 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:45 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Mary K.   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:02 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:23 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:28 PM
. * * Re: EYE??? Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:56 PM
. * * Recon Position Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:34 PM
. * * Well... wxman007   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:45 PM
. * * Re: Well... Carl   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Well... Carl   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Well... wxman007   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Well... Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Well... Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Well... Carl   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:42 PM
. * * Re: Well... Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:49 PM
. * * The waves were beautiful Southern4sure   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:59 PM
. * * Re: The waves were beautiful Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:40 PM
. * * Re: The waves were beautiful Southern4sure   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:45 PM
. * * Re: The waves were beautiful Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:55 PM
. * * Re: The waves were beautiful Young Droop   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:06 PM
. * * New Orleans Radar teal61   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Well... Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Well... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:16 PM
. * * Re: Well... Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:32 PM
. * * Re: Vortex teal61   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Well... wxman007   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:22 PM
. * * Interesting take on the storm from Fox-8 Steve   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:56 PM
. * * Is tonight the night? Steve   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:03 PM
. * * A look at the IR loop shows.. teal61   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:01 PM
. * * Hey, Steve teal61   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:06 PM
. * * Hey teal... Steve   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:21 PM
. * * Re: Hey teal... danielwAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Hey teal... teal61   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:31 PM
. * * upwelling HanKFranK   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:42 PM
. * * Re: upwelling Steve   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:55 PM
. * * Re: upwelling danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:14 AM
. * * Hey, Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:36 AM
. * * 1am intermediate advisory Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:01 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:08 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:16 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:20 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:23 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:24 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:28 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:40 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:27 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:38 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:41 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory hurrcanewatch   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:40 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:44 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:58 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory hurrcanewatch   Mon Jul 14 2003 03:03 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 03:16 AM
. * * Eye forms... hurrcanewatch   Mon Jul 14 2003 03:39 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:46 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:02 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:03 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:28 AM
. * * Watches Move NORTH to TX/LA danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:18 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:09 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:18 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:30 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:12 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:26 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... clyde w.   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:20 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 11:32 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:00 PM
. * * FWIW... Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:04 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:08 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:10 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:24 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:33 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:05 PM
. * * Re: FWIW... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:35 PM
. * * West turn...nope Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:55 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope Gayle   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:10 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope jth at home   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:25 PM
. * * Gayle Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:21 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:15 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope Gayle   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:27 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope teal61   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:31 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope jth at home   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:36 PM
. * * Ipm adv. teal61   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Ipm adv. andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Ipm adv. Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:17 PM
. * * West mvt Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:31 PM
. * * Re: West mvt WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:38 PM
. * * Re: West mvt Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:53 PM
. * * Re: West mvt Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 03:00 PM
. * * slow mover Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 03:56 PM
. * * Re: slow mover txmom   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:13 PM
. * * Re: slow mover andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:27 PM
. * * Re: slow mover Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:47 PM
. * * radar loop teal61   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:35 PM
. * * In the for what its worth department, teal61   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:38 PM
. * * Oil platforms Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Oil platforms St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:27 PM
. * * Lake Charles Radar Rich B   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Lake Charles Radar andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:40 PM
. * * 5 PM WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:42 PM
. * * Re: 5 PM 57497479   Mon Jul 14 2003 04:58 PM
. * * Re:Why no NE push? javlin24   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:09 PM
. * * I'm Here!! ShawnS   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:20 PM
. * * Re: I'm Here!! Storm Cooper   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:28 PM
. * * West jth at home   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:27 PM
. * * West turn Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:25 PM
. * * Re: West turn javlin24   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:32 PM
. * * Re: West turn St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:33 PM
. * * Re: West turn javlin24   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:45 PM
. * * Re: West turn St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:49 PM
. * * 8 PM WXMAN RICHIE   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:48 PM
. * * mess out at 25N/45W Domino   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:06 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W GOMF   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:52 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W GOMF   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:26 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W Kimmie at home   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:38 PM
. * * More of a westward component Bill   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:32 PM
. * * Re: More of a westward component mbfly   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:40 PM
. * * Re: More of a westward component St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:47 PM
. * * Re: More of a westward component mbfly   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:49 PM
. * * Re: More of a westward component 57497479   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:25 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:13 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W javlin24   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:06 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:08 PM
. * * Burst to the west CocoaBeach   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Burst to the west 57497479   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:48 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:23 PM
. * * sure looks NNE to me Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:32 PM
. * * Re: sure looks NNE to me WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:38 PM
. * * Re: sure looks NNE to me St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:47 PM
. * * Re: mess out at 25N/45W GaryC   Mon Jul 14 2003 05:23 PM
. * * Re: West mvt andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Ipm adv. Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:14 PM
. * * Hurricane Claudette jth at home   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:55 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:17 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:24 PM
. * * Re: West turn...nope Frank P   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Eye forms... WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Eye forms... andy1tom   Mon Jul 14 2003 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:48 AM
. * * 80 Knt at 130 miles south of Cameron, LA cajun   Mon Jul 14 2003 08:58 AM
. * * Re: 80 Knt at 130 miles south of Cameron, LA BabyCat   Mon Jul 14 2003 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:44 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Eye forms... danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:00 AM
. * * try this link for current conditions. St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 07:09 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory WeatherNLU   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:20 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:15 AM
. * * Re: 1am intermediate advisory Steve   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:07 AM
. * * Re: Hey, danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 14 2003 01:55 AM
. * * Re: Hey, St. David   Mon Jul 14 2003 02:01 AM
. * * One last thing... Steve   Sun Jul 13 2003 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Well... Jamie-on-dabyu   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Well... wxman007   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Well... Thanks Jamie-on-dabyu   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:48 PM
. * * Re: Well... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:30 PM
. * * New Vortex... wxman007   Sun Jul 13 2003 10:35 PM
. * * Radar Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Well... Frank P   Sun Jul 13 2003 08:55 PM
. * * Location Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jul 13 2003 07:24 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Claudette Stalls Storm Cooper   Sun Jul 13 2003 04:08 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 2 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 24872

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center