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#96L 's remnants now consolidating into a compact well-defined Low over the Bahamas. May head towards Bermuda eventually.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 37 (Michael) , Major: 37 (Michael) Florida - Any: 37 (Michael) Major: 37 (Michael)
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Archives 2010s >> 2015 Forecast Lounge


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1833
Loc: Austin, Tx
Gulf Invest 99L Lounge
      Wed Sep 23 2015 04:05 PM

Two areas of lower pressure that are taking shape along the Monsoon Trof either side of Central America are now being watched for potential 5-day development. One of these is Invest tagged 92E (on the Pacific side), and the other as of this entry does not have its own tag (will update if and when it does).

One, both, or a conglomeration of these two features are forecast by a consensus of model runs to track northwesterly to northerly, and then possibly northerly to northeasterly, into extreme southwest Mexico and/or into the southern Gulf of Mexico, later in the 5-day period.

With regard to 92E, some runs strongly suggest that it could cross into the Gulf from the Pacific intact, or that its remnants may start to reform in the Bay of Campeche.

E. Pacific side: NHC 92E 5-Day Development Odds: 70%,
W. Atlantic side: NHC Untagged/Forecast Disturbance Development Odds: 20%

Title updated to reflect changes in development. (The SW Caribbean Trof is now Invest 99L. EPAC Invest 93E has become EPAC TS Marty, and EPAC 92E, or what is left of it, has mostly been absorbed by Marty and 99L).

Edited by cieldumort (Sun Sep 27 2015 03:59 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Gulf Invest 99L Lounge cieldumort Wed Sep 23 2015 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Invest 99L Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 29 2015 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Gulf Invest 99L Lounge cieldumort   Mon Sep 28 2015 11:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Lounge cieldumort   Sun Sep 27 2015 03:19 AM
. * * Re: SW Carib - Gulf Low cieldumort   Fri Sep 25 2015 09:44 AM
. * * Re: SW Carib - Gulf Low doug   Fri Sep 25 2015 11:52 AM
. * * Re: SW Carib - Gulf Low doug   Thu Sep 24 2015 12:23 PM

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