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| #1001604 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:45 PM 18.May.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Arthur Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012020 200 PM EDT Mon May 18 2020 ...CENTER OF ARTHUR MOVING AWAY FROM NORTH CAROLINA WHILE TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE OUTER BANKS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.6N 74.7W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued south of Ocracoke Inlet. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Ocracoke Inlet to Duck NC * Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was located near latitude 35.6 North, longitude 74.7 West. Arthur is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h). This general motion should continue today, followed by a turn toward the east on Tuesday. A slower southeast or south-southeast motion is forecast to begin Tuesday night and continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Arthur will continue to move away from the North Carolina Outer Banks this afternoon. Arthur is then forecast to turn away from the east coast of the United States tonight and Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. While some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, Arthur is likely to lose its tropical characteristics late tonight or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center, primarily over water to the east of the center. A WeatherFlow observing site at Alligator River Bridge measured sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) and a gust to 46 mph (74 km/h) earlier this afternoon. A wind gust to 42 mph (68 km/h) was recently reported at Oregon Inlet. The latest minimum central pressure estimated from reconnaissance aircraft data is 993 mb (29.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area through this afternoon. RAINFALL: Arthur is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over coastal North Carolina through this afternoon, with isolated maximum amounts of 5 inches. SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are affecting portions of the southeast U.S. coast and are expected to spread northward along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast during the next day or so. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Brown |
