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#1001653 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 PM 18.May.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Arthur Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012020 1100 PM EDT Mon May 18 2020 ...ARTHUR MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.4N 72.4W ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arthur was located near latitude 36.4 North, longitude 72.4 West. Arthur is moving toward the east-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this motion is forecast to continue tonight. A turn toward the east is expected on Tuesday. A slower motion toward the southeast or south-southeast is expected to begin Tuesday night and continue through Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Arthur will continue to move out to sea away from the east coast of the United States. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Although some slight strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, Arthur is expected to lose its tropical characteristics on Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. NOAA Buoy 44014 located about 100 miles (160 km) west of Arthur`s center recently measured a sustained wind of 38 mph (61 km/h) and a gust to 47 mph (76 km/h). Also, NOAA Buoy 41001 located about 120 miles (200 km) southeast of the center recently measured a wind gust of 43 mph (69 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Arthur are expected to affect portions of the mid-Atlantic and southeast U.S. coasts during the next day or two. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart |