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#10038 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 25.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004 ...EYE OF JEANNE VERY NEAR MARSH HARBOR ON ABACO ISLAND... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY THROUGHOUT THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. WE ARE REMINDED THAT YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY...WILL LAST UNTIL SUNDOWN TODAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE HURRICANE SITUATION. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST JUST OVER MARSH HARBOUR...ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 190 MILES...310 KM...EAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA. JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. MARSH HARBOR JUST REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 46 MPH...74 KM/HR AND A PRESSURE OF NEAR 963 MB...28.44 INCHES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA. DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N... 77.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 957 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |