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| #1007920 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:42 AM 11.Jul.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 ...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 74.0W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from East Rockaway New York to Watch Hill Rhode Island including most of Long Island and Long Island Sound has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 74.0 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected today and tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Fay will move across portions of eastern New York this morning, then across western New England into southeastern Canada later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected today, and the system is expected to become a post-tropical low later this morning and dissipate on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |
