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| #10091 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:56 PM 25.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 48B NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 3 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004 ... EYE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE JEANNE RELENTLESSLY BATTERING THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER AND FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO JUST SOUTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. AT 3 PM EDT...1900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA. JEANNE IS NOW MOVING A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL CONTINUE NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND APPROACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. JEANNE IS DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM....MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 7 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLE REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY. REPEATING THE 3 PM EDT POSITION...27.0 N... 78.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...A LITTLE NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...953 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
