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| #10106 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 25.Sep.2004) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004 ...DANGEROUS CORE OF HURRICANE JEANNE EXPECTED TO REACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TONIGHT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE SABLE INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH FLORIDA. JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL CONTINUE NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND WILL REACH THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND AS MUCH AS 100 MILES ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE. JEANNE IS DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES. SETTLEMENT POINT ON THE WEST END OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 97 MPH. LATEST MINIMUM PRESSURE CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST. A STORM SURGE OF UP TO 5 FEET ABOVE THE PRESENT WATER LEVEL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR MAINLY ON THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST....POSSIBLE REACHING 3 TO 6 FEET IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NORTH OF TAMPA BAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE EAST FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...27.1 N... 78.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
