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#1011170 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 04.Aug.2020)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
2100 UTC TUE AUG 04 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF MANASQUAN
INLET...NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING ALL OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL
POTOMAC RIVER...AND DELAWARE BAY. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS
ALSO BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF STONINGTON...MAINE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MANASQUAN INLET NEW JERSEY TO STONINGTON MAINE
* LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD...NANTUCKET...AND BLOCK ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 74.2W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 35 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 180SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 300SE 90SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.7N 74.2W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.9N 75.1W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 46.3N 72.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 190SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 50.7N 71.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 53.3N 70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 54.1N 67.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.7N 74.2W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 05/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART