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| #1011912 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:20 PM 11.Aug.2020) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020 2100 UTC TUE AUG 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 40.0W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 40.0W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 39.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 12.0N 42.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 12.4N 44.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 13.0N 46.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 13.9N 49.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.1N 51.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.4N 54.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 59.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 21.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.7N 40.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
