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| #1012234 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:45 AM 14.Aug.2020) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112020 1500 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 54.7W AT 14/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 54.7W AT 14/1500Z AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 54.1W FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.1N 56.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.4N 59.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 19.7N 61.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 20SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 20.9N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 27.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 30.6N 65.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 54.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
