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| #1012461 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 16.Aug.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 ...JOSEPHINE LOSING ORGANIZATION AS IT PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND VIRGIN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.3N 64.0W ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM NE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Josephine was located near latitude 20.3 North, longitude 64.0 West. Josephine is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through today. A turn toward the northwest is expected by tonight, with Josephine forecast to slow down and recurve toward the north and northeast on Tuesday and Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Josephine is expected to become a remnant low or dissipate by Monday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) to the northeast of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Josephine is expected to cause storm-total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches over portions of the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico. Isolated minor flooding is possible in Puerto Rico through Monday. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg |
