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| #1012468 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:03 AM 16.Aug.2020) TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122020 500 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 Shortwave infrared satellite imagery and earlier ASCAT data indicate that Kyle`s circulation has become very elongated, and the center has become ill defined. Model analyses and satellite imagery also suggest that the low is now attached to a prominent warm/stationary front to its east and a weaker trailing cold front to its southwest. Therefore, Kyle has become an extratropical low, and its maximum winds are estimated to be 35 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data. Global models indicate that Kyle`s winds should continue to decrease over the next couple of days, with the system dissipating or becoming absorbed by another area of low pressure in about 48 hours. The initial motion is eastward, or 080/17 kt. Since Kyle is embedded in zonal mid-latitude flow, this general heading and speed are expected to continue during the next day or two until the cyclone dissipates. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/0900Z 40.0N 58.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 16/1800Z 40.4N 55.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 17/0600Z 40.4N 51.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 17/1800Z 39.9N 47.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg |
