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| #1012489 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 16.Aug.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Josephine Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 1100 AM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 ...JOSEPHINE CONTINUES TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AS IT PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.4N 65.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NW OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM NNE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Josephine was located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 65.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is expected by tonight, with Josephine or its remnants forecast to slow down and recurve toward the north and northeast on Tuesday and Tuesday night. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Josephine is expected to become a remnant low or dissipate by Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Brown |
