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#1012520 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 16.Aug.2020) TCDAT1 Remnants Of Josephine Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112020 500 PM AST Sun Aug 16 2020 The low-level swirl seen in visible satellite imagery has become less defined this afternoon, and ASCAT surface wind data that arrived shortly after the release of the previous advisory indicated that Josephine had degenerated into a trough of low pressure. As a result, this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. The ASCAT revealed a small area of 30-kt winds along the northeast side of the trough axis, and that will be the initial wind speed for this advisory. The remnants are forecast to continue encountering a hostile upper-level wind environment over the next couple of days and re-generation of the system is not expected during that time. The strong upper-level winds are forecast to decrease later in the week, but it appears that there will not be much left of the system to take advantage of those conditions. The remnants are moving west-northwestward at 10 kt, and should turn northwestward and northward over the next couple of days as a low- to mid-level trough moves near the southeastern U.S. coast. This is the last NHC advisory on this system. Future information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 16/2100Z 20.9N 65.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 17/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown |