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#1013599 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 24.Aug.2020) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LAURA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132020 0900 UTC MON AUG 24 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MIDDLE AND LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO KEY WEST. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC * CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...GRANMA...CIEGO DE AVILA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...LA HABANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY TO KEY WEST * DRY TORTUGAS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE U.S. NORTHWEST GULF COAST AREA BY THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 78.9W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 78.9W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 78.0W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 21.7N 81.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 22.9N 84.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...160NE 160SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 24.5N 87.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.1N 90.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.0N 92.3W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 29.8N 93.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.4N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 37.6N 82.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N 78.9W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 24/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |