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#1014726 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 31.Aug.2020) TCPAT5 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fifteen Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020 500 PM EDT Mon Aug 31 2020 ...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OFFSHORE OF NORTH CAROLINA BUT EXPECTED TO STAY AWAY FROM LAND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.6N 76.5W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SSW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fifteen was located by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 32.6 North, longitude 76.5 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a motion toward the northeast or east-northeast is expected for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to become a tropical storm on Tuesday, but little, if any, additional strengthening is forecast Tuesday night or Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure based on the Air Force Reserve reconnaissance data is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of North Carolina, especially along the Outer Banks. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions through tomorrow. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Blake |