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#1014784 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 01.Sep.2020)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152020
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2020

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 74.4W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 74.4W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 75.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 35.0N 72.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 36.0N 69.7W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 36.9N 67.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 37.5N 63.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.7N 61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 37.8N 58.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 39.2N 53.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N 74.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG