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#1016348 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 PM 12.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 34.6W AT 13/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 34.6W AT 13/0300Z AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N 34.2W FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 12.3N 35.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 12.9N 37.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 0SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 13.5N 40.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.1N 42.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 14.8N 44.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.9N 46.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 18.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N 51.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 34.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY |