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#1016481 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 PM 13.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 37.6W AT 13/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 37.6W AT 13/2100Z AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 37.0W FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 13.2N 39.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 13.6N 42.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.1N 44.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.7N 46.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N 47.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 49.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 37.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |