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#1016770 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 14.Sep.2020) TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Vicky Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212020 200 AM CVT Tue Sep 15 2020 ...VICKY A LITTLE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED BUT STILL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 200 AM CVT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 29.9W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM CVT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vicky was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 29.9 West. Vicky is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is expected within the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the west. Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast due to strong upper-level winds during the next 48 hours, and Vicky is likely to degenerate into remnant low by Wednesday Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Pasch |