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| #1016772 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 PM 14.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 0300 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 45.0W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 50SE 0SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 45.0W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 13.8N 46.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...120NE 70SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 14.8N 48.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.9N 49.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 17.3N 51.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 18.5N 52.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.9N 54.2W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 22.6N 56.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 25.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
