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| #1016935 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 15.Sep.2020) TCMAT5 TROPICAL STORM TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020 2100 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 47.9W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT.......140NE 80SE 40SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 270SE 150SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 47.9W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 47.6W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 50.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 70SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.2N 51.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 15SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 53.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 25SE 20SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.0N 54.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.5N 55.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 25.4N 58.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 28.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 47.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY |
