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#1016939 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 PM 15.Sep.2020) TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Paulette Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172020 500 PM AST Tue Sep 15 2020 ...PAULETTE WEAKENS... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IN A FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.5N 55.0W ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM NE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Paulette was located near latitude 39.5 North, longitude 55.0 West. Paulette is moving toward the east-northeast near 30 mph (48 km/h), and this general motion with a further increase in speed is expected through Thursday. Afterward, Paulette is forecast to slow down and turn toward the south-southeast and south late Thursday and Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid weakening is forecast to begin on Wednesday as the cyclone undergoes extratropical transition and moves over much cooler water. Paulette should complete its transition to an extratropical cyclone Thursday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Paulette will continue to affect Bermuda and portions of the east coast of the United States into Wednesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Roberts |