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| #101700 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 AM 02.Aug.2006) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 1500 UTC WED AUG 02 2006 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. BARTHELEMY...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. MAARTEN IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANGUILLA...AND ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 63.4W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 50SE 25SW 35NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 63.4W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 63.1W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.8N 64.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 15NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.3N 66.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 20.8N 68.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.4N 70.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.5N 74.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 24.5N 83.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 63.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z |
